First, i actually support neither of the party.
Pakatan Rakyat appear to be cleaner, while BN is well known for their association with dirty politic, i like their current economic policy more compare to PR. But nevertheless, the choice of the Government, should be speak by rakyat. Not me.
This is the election results of last time, GE 12. Clearly, BN not only win simple majority of the seats, but they also win the overall votes (with narrower margin, of course). Well, out of curiosity and boreness, i actually try to compile the voting figure this time into excel, below is the overall results.
You can check the accuracy of the figure on my excel file here against SPR figure to see if i am lying. :)
But the point is clear, despite a further swing of 3.4% of voters vote into PR, which the magnitude like this usually results in change in Government in western country, PR only managed to gain 7 Parliment Seats more.
You may attribute the root cause for BN being lucky (i am joking). In fact, 23 of BN Parliment seats win with a percentage vote less than 50.5% (including void votes), 15 of BN Parliment seats win with a percentage vote less than 50%. 42 of BN seats win with percentage vote less than 52%.
while the comparable figure for PR, is 5 less than 50%, 9 below 50.5%, 16 below 52%.
Ie, if the opposition had unified under one banner,
if the voter cross the ballot paper wisely, thus avoiding void,
if just a little more people turn up.
We might have a change of government already ( i not talking about dirty magic yet, though)
While chinese votes are swinging more towards PR, there is actually a back swing of Malay votes to BN in key states like Kedah and Perak. However, the task of winning rural Malay hearts should be left to PR strategist, not me. The big, and most important questions for this post is,
1) Can a party winning minority votes declare themselves receiving the mandates by the people?
2) If not, what can we do (or shall we do) to change the electoral system?
3) Cleary, a division within nation, among urban voter with rural voter, moderate muslim and fundamental muslim, east malaysia and west malaysia, origin and foreign workers will ensue if the post election not handled carefully, can we manage to deal with that, avoiding another tragedy like 1969?
